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Career Outlook

National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC's Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation( Supervisors, Oil and Gas Drilling and Service )is part of a larger occupational group called Supervisors, Mining, Oil and Gas (NOC 822).


Occupations in this group

Supervisors, Mining and Quarrying (8221)
Supervisors, Oil and Gas Drilling and Service (8222)
Employment (non-student) in 2010 24,647
Median Age of workers in 2010 42
Average Retirement Age in 2010 60

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2006-2008 period, this occupation experienced solid employment growth, but also a sizeable increase in unemployment. In 2008, the unemployment rate was similar to the occupational average. Moreover, the average hourly wage in this occupation, which was already high for an occupation not requiring a university diploma, increased noticeably over this period. Key labour market indicators suggest that the number of job seekers in this occupation was insufficient to fill job openings.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are greater than the projected job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility), while an occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected job seekers are greater than the projected job openings. For Supervisors, Mining, Oil And Gas, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 13,154. It is expected that 5,514 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings.

Based on these projections and considering that this occupation experienced a labour supply shortage, it is expected that the number of job seekers will remain insufficient to fill job openings over the 2009-2018 period. The majority of job openings will result from replacement needs. More specifically, retirements will be significant in number, despite a retirement rate comparable to the occupational average. Expansion demand will also be on par with the occupational average. Job openings resulting from expansion demand will be much fewer than over the 1999-2008 period. In fact, since 2000, employment has grown substantially in the oil and gas industry. This industry was in full expansion for several years because of the rise in global demand and the cost of energy products. Major investments in modernizing current facilities and launching new projects, particularly in the oil sands, contributed to the high labour demand during this period. However, over the projection period, new job creation will slow down as a result of technological advances in oils sands treatment, which will reduce labour force needs and increase productivity, and, also, because of less rapid growth in international demand due to the 2008-2009 recession. In terms of supply, job seekers will come primarily from the school system. Moreover, several workers from other occupations will come to work in this one. Mobility toward this occupation is the result of the favourable job perspectives and wages that characterize occupations in the oil and gas industries.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables
Accounting and Payroll Administrator

Category Openings %
Expansion Demand 6,578 50%
Retirements 5,226 40%
Deaths 752 6%
Emigration 598 5%
Projected Job Openings 13,154 100%
 
Category Seekers %
School Leavers 3,034 55%
Immigration 225 4%
Net Mobility 2,255 41%
Projected Job Seekers 5,514 100%



What proportion of men and women work in this occupation?

The graph displays the proportion of men and women in this occupation in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), women represented 26% of workers in this occupation, compared to the average of 48% for all occupations.

Accounting and Payroll Administrator


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